Cyprus Health Observatory

Excess deaths

Weekly deaths in Cyprus compared with what the season would lead us to expect, monthly deaths by cause compared with the same month in earlier years, and hospital discharges compared with the trend.

Eurostat weekly deaths

How it works

For each week we fit a seasonal baseline to the previous five years of spring and autumn weeks, in the style of EuroMOMO, and measure how far the week is from it (a z-score). A z-score of 4 or more counts as substantial and is recorded as an event. From 2 to 4 it is shown as elevated.

Full method

Weeks with substantial excess deaths

  • Excess deaths in Cyprus, week week 3, 2025: 203 observed vs 135 expected (z = 4.3)Eurostat
  • Excess deaths in Cyprus, week week 2, 2025: 203 observed vs 135 expected (z = 4.3)Eurostat
  • Excess deaths in Cyprus, week week 3, 2022: 211 observed vs 144 expected (z = 4.3)Eurostat
  • Excess deaths in Cyprus, week week 32, 2021: 170 observed vs 109 expected (z = 4.3)Eurostat
  • Excess deaths in Cyprus, week week 31, 2021: 175 observed vs 109 expected (z = 4.6)Eurostat
  • Excess deaths in Cyprus, week week 21, 2020: 185 observed vs 113 expected (z = 5.5)Eurostat

Week

WeekObservedExpectedz-score
week 27, 2026103 source105 estimate-0.2 estimate
week 26, 2026109 source107 estimate0.2 estimate
week 25, 2026102 source108 estimate-0.5 estimate
week 24, 2026119 source109 estimate0.8 estimate
week 23, 202695 source112 estimate-1.5 estimate
week 22, 2026105 source113 estimate-0.6 estimate
week 21, 2026101 source113 estimate-1.1 estimate
week 20, 202686 source115 estimate-2.5 estimate
week 19, 2026124 source117 estimate0.5 estimate
week 18, 2026126 source119 estimate0.6 estimate
week 17, 2026115 source120 estimate-0.4 estimate
week 16, 2026107 source122 estimate-1.2 estimate
week 15, 2026118 source124 estimate-0.5 estimate
week 14, 2026125 source126 estimate-0.1 estimate
week 13, 2026110 source127 estimate-1.3 estimate
week 12, 2026136 source129 estimate0.5 estimate
week 11, 2026153 source130 estimate1.7 estimate
week 10, 2026123 source131 estimate-0.6 estimate
week 9, 2026145 source132 estimate0.9 estimate
week 8, 2026139 source133 estimate0.4 estimate
week 7, 2026131 source134 estimate-0.2 estimate
week 6, 2026137 source134 estimate0.2 estimate
week 5, 2026175 source134 estimate2.9 estimate
week 4, 2026150 source134 estimate1.1 estimate
week 3, 2026160 source134 estimate1.9 estimate
week 2, 2026155 source133 estimate1.6 estimate

Other unusual months

SeriesPeriodObserved / ExpectedLevel
Monthly deaths by cause: FallsApr 202213 / 3 (z-score 6.3) estimateElevated
Monthly deaths by cause: FallsMar 202212 / 3 (z-score 5.2) estimateElevated
Monthly deaths by cause: External causes of morbidity and mortality (V01-Y89)Jul 202344 / 28 (z-score 4) estimateElevated
Monthly deaths by cause: TotalJun 2023507 / 456 (z-score 3.4) estimateElevated
Monthly deaths by cause: TotalMar 2022726 / 578 (z-score 8.2) estimateElevated
Monthly deaths by cause: TotalFeb 2022723 / 566 (z-score 11.4) estimateElevated
Monthly deaths by cause: TotalJan 2022841 / 693 (z-score 13.3) estimateElevated
Monthly deaths by cause: Other diseases of the genitourinary system (remainder of N00-N99)Mar 202318 / 8 (z-score 6) estimateElevated
Monthly deaths by cause: Other diseases of the genitourinary system (remainder of N00-N99)Nov 202212 / 7 (z-score 4) estimateElevated
Monthly deaths by cause: Diseases of kidney and ureterSept 202316 / 9 (z-score 4) estimateElevated
Monthly deaths by cause: Diseases of kidney and ureterFeb 202327 / 12 (z-score 4.4) estimateElevated
Monthly deaths by cause: Diseases of the genitourinary system (N00-N99)Mar 202331 / 22 (z-score 6.2) estimateElevated
Monthly deaths by cause: Chronic liver disease (excluding alcoholic and toxic liver disease)May 202311 / 6 (z-score 3.5) estimateElevated
Monthly deaths by cause: Chronic liver diseaseMay 202311 / 6 (z-score 10.5) estimateElevated
Monthly deaths by cause: Diseases of the digestive system (K00-K93)May 202328 / 16 (z-score 5.3) estimateElevated
Monthly deaths by cause: Chronic lower respiratory diseasesFeb 202324 / 11 (z-score 5.6) estimateElevated
Monthly deaths by cause: Chronic lower respiratory diseasesFeb 202214 / 10 (z-score 3.8) estimateElevated
Monthly deaths by cause: Other lower respiratory diseasesFeb 202324 / 10 (z-score 6.4) estimateElevated
Monthly deaths by cause: PneumoniaJul 202313 / 6 (z-score 4.8) estimateElevated
Monthly deaths by cause: PneumoniaMar 202316 / 6 (z-score 10.7) estimateElevated
Monthly deaths by cause: PneumoniaFeb 202313 / 8 (z-score 3.1) estimateElevated
Monthly deaths by cause: Diseases of the respiratory system (J00-J99)Oct 202347 / 33 (z-score 3.5) estimateElevated
Monthly deaths by cause: Diseases of the respiratory system (J00-J99)Jun 202343 / 39 (z-score 3.9) estimateElevated
Monthly deaths by cause: Other diseases of the circulatory system (remainder of I00-I99)Jun 202337 / 21 (z-score 4) estimateElevated
Monthly deaths by cause: Other diseases of the circulatory system (remainder of I00-I99)May 202237 / 28 (z-score 4.5) estimateElevated
Monthly deaths by cause: Other diseases of the circulatory system (remainder of I00-I99)Feb 202252 / 30 (z-score 7.7) estimateElevated
Monthly deaths by cause: Cerebrovascular diseasesJul 202243 / 29 (z-score 6.9) estimateElevated
Monthly deaths by cause: Other heart diseasesJul 202243 / 31 (z-score 6) estimateElevated
Monthly deaths by cause: Other ischaemic heart diseasesJan 202335 / 30 (z-score 3.2) estimateElevated
Monthly deaths by cause: Other ischaemic heart diseasesSept 202222 / 19 (z-score 4.6) estimateElevated
Monthly deaths by cause: Ischaemic heart diseasesNov 202252 / 37 (z-score 3) estimateElevated
Monthly deaths by cause: Ischaemic heart diseasesMar 202275 / 53 (z-score 10.4) estimateElevated
Monthly deaths by cause: Diseases of the circulatory system (I00-I99)Mar 2022198 / 156 (z-score 7.1) estimateElevated
Monthly deaths by cause: Diseases of the nervous system and the sense organs (G00-H95)Jun 202322 / 17 (z-score 5.5) estimateElevated
Monthly deaths by cause: Alzheimer diseaseJan 202217 / 10 (z-score 3.2) estimateElevated
Monthly deaths by cause: DementiaApr 202231 / 15 (z-score 3.5) estimateElevated
Monthly deaths by cause: DementiaFeb 202231 / 17 (z-score 8.1) estimateElevated
Monthly deaths by cause: DementiaJan 202236 / 27 (z-score 3) estimateElevated
Monthly deaths by cause: Mental and behavioural disorders (F00-F99)Oct 202234 / 25 (z-score 4.5) estimateElevated
Monthly deaths by cause: Mental and behavioural disorders (F00-F99)Apr 202232 / 18 (z-score 3.5) estimateElevated

Hospital discharges against the trend

  • Inpatient discharges, hospitals in GeSY (CYSTAT)2024: 116,485 against 114,391 expected (z-score 0.7)source
  • Inpatient discharges (Eurostat)2023: 122,881 against 117,206 expected (z-score 0.2)source

What we could not read

  • Notifiable-disease bulletin: moh.gov.cy robots.txt disallows all agents (gap line).